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Red60
234718.8
753918.8
286911.0
Blue36
529811.3
464114.0
663610.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46290204060806036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.8
12.613.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.1
End2.8
red by 4.8
4641
#28
14.00.6
10.911.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.8
End2.7
Second
7539
#16
18.80.5
17.317.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 7.5
5298
#32
11.31.0
10.211.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.8
Third
2869
#14
11.00.8
13.414.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.8
red by 0.7
6636
#20
10.31.0
6.17.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed