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Red62
263826.6
27115.8
456713.0
Blue35
25799.4
694121.1
2818.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53500204060801006235

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.8
23.624.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.8
End6.3
red by 5.5
6941
#21
21.10.8
20.519.7
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Second
271
#9
15.80.8
13.013.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.7
End3.8
blue by 2.6
28
#13
18.40.8
14.513.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Third
4567
#35
13.01.3
13.314.5
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 3.6
2579
#31
9.41.3
12.010.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed