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Red46
216115.3
691112.9
602420.8
Blue36
724210.9
761113.1
728016.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483902060804636

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#23
20.80.5
20.319.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 3.8
7280
#18
16.90.1
13.813.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End7.0
Second
15.30.8
12.111.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End6.7
red by 2.2
7611
#27
13.10.1
12.312.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.8
Third
6911
#17
12.90.5
12.512.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End2.8
red by 2.0
7242
#19
10.90.1
10.810.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned