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Red49
35310.5
35819.8
723921.8
Blue53
154617.5
180312.0
767315.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54442060804953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7239
#11
21.80.2
19.919.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End6.1
red by 4.2
17.51.2
16.217.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.8
Second
358
#8
19.80.1
17.917.7
Auto5.0
Teleop11.0
End3.8
red by 4.4
7673
#26
15.41.3
13.815.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.9
End3.5
Third
353
#34
10.50.2
13.212.9
Auto5.0
Teleop2.8
End2.7
blue by 1.5
1803
#29
12.01.2
11.312.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed