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Red69
364624.7
691112.9
753918.8
Blue41
287512.7
456713.0
146819.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564902040801006941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.1
22.823.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End8.2
red by 5.5
19.20.9
20.419.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End5.6
Second
7539
#16
18.81.1
17.618.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 5.8
4567
#35
13.00.9
13.012.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Third
6911
#17
12.91.1
12.113.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.9
End2.8
red by 0.2
2875
#24
12.70.8
13.512.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed