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Red50
694121.1
724210.9
529811.3
Blue39
155413.3
51417.7
160116.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43522060801005039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#21
21.10.6
20.421.0
Auto2.9
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 3.4
514
#22
17.70.7
17.416.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Second
5298
#32
11.30.7
10.611.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.2
End2.8
blue by 5.6
1601
#25
16.90.8
17.716.9
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End3.9
Third
7242
#19
10.90.8
10.210.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End3.7
blue by 2.4
1554
#37
13.30.7
14.013.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed