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Red57
35421.1
188020.2
341914.4
Blue45
700417.4
640114.6
438314.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585020304070805745

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#8
21.10.0
20.920.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End3.5
red by 3.7
17.40.3
17.517.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End3.6
Second
20.20.0
20.120.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.4
End5.9
red by 5.5
4383
#28
14.70.4
14.914.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
3419
#46
14.40.0
14.214.3
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.6
blue by 0.2
14.60.3
14.714.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8