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Red60
412220.4
115517.3
12309.2
Blue43
234415.3
30048.7
35421.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060806043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.1
18.219.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End5.5
blue by 0.7
354
#8
21.10.4
16.817.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Second
1155
#12Sur
17.31.1
16.817.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End1.7
red by 2.1
2344
#31Sur
15.30.7
12.413.1
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Third
1230
#42
9.21.6
7.39.0
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.4
red by 0.4
3004
#47
8.70.7
7.58.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed