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Red49
438314.7
166014.2
580612.9
Blue50
289511.3
412220.4
745816.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384720305060704950

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4383
#28
14.71.5
12.514.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 5.7
20.40.4
18.218.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End5.5
Second
1660
#10
14.20.9
11.712.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 2.6
7458
#18
16.80.4
15.916.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End4.6
Third
5806
#23
12.90.9
11.412.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.8
red by 1.7
2895
#40
11.30.7
10.010.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed