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Red63
179635.3
727210.9
286912.0
Blue45
226516.1
559914.8
341914.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5744203040507080906345

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.8
34.533.7
Auto3.6
Teleop23.5
End8.1
red by 19.1
2265
#38
16.10.0
12.912.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Second
2869
#16
12.00.8
11.010.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
blue by 2.8
5599
#35
14.80.0
15.015.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.5
End3.2
Third
7272
#39
10.91.3
8.97.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 3.6
3419
#46
14.40.0
14.114.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
28%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed