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Red42
341914.4
703611.7
76689.8
Blue53
35421.1
529812.5
705014.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33450102030405060704253

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#46
14.40.5
14.114.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.6
blue by 6.6
354
#8
21.10.7
17.918.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Second
7036
#19
11.70.8
8.79.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End3.1
blue by 3.0
7050
#30
14.71.1
12.313.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End4.6
Third
7668
#34
9.80.8
8.99.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.0
End2.0
blue by 2.7
5298
#15
12.50.7
12.713.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed