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Red60
33321.3
39511.0
30048.7
Blue46
226516.1
452811.4
727210.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3931010205060706046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#11
21.30.5
20.220.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.5
End2.7
red by 5.1
2265
#38
16.11.1
12.914.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Second
395
#26
11.00.5
7.98.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End2.4
blue by 0.4
4528
#43
11.41.9
9.411.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End3.2
Third
3004
#47
8.70.8
8.59.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 2.2
7272
#39
10.91.9
7.08.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed