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Red40
580612.9
46409.4
745816.8
Blue31
341914.4
33411.3
115517.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43492030406070804031

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7458
#18
16.80.7
17.616.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End4.6
blue by 0.6
1155
#12
17.31.0
19.018.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.6
End1.7
Second
5806
#23
12.90.7
13.412.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.8
blue by 1.5
3419
#46
14.41.0
14.413.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Third
4640
#20
9.41.2
10.18.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.5
End2.2
blue by 1.9
334
#33
11.31.0
12.911.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed