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Red30
705014.7
47733.7
640114.6
Blue29
529812.5
542112.2
289511.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373801020305060703029

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7050
#30
14.70.6
14.013.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End4.6
red by 2.2
5298
#15
12.50.5
13.412.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End2.4
Second
14.60.3
14.514.2
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 2.4
5421
#22
12.20.8
11.911.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
Third
4773
#45
3.70.6
6.66.0
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.8
blue by 7.5
2895
#40
11.30.8
11.010.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed