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Red46
42639.9
37607.1
179635.3
Blue59
640114.6
580612.9
35421.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5749102030407080904659

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.5
35.234.7
Auto3.6
Teleop23.5
End8.1
red by 14.2
354
#8
21.10.8
20.020.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End3.5
Second
4263
#29
9.90.7
10.69.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.0
End3.1
blue by 4.7
14.60.8
13.914.7
Auto5.6
Teleop4.2
End4.8
Third
3760
#48
7.10.7
7.87.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.2
blue by 5.9
5806
#23
12.90.8
12.513.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsEarned