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Red33
53313.5
409317.9
151811.9
Blue50
27111.6
159118.0
145017.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404034363842444648503350

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4093
#26
17.90.9
12.811.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.7
End3.9
blue by 0.1
1591
#22
18.01.3
13.514.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End4.9
Second
533
#43
13.50.9
10.69.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 4.0
17.51.3
13.114.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.2
Third
1518
#41
11.90.9
14.413.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End3.1
red by 0.2
271
#46
11.61.3
11.312.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed