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Red36
383816.6
19116.8
317311.9
Blue35
37820.7
2812.3
158512.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35370102030506070803635

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#36
16.80.4
13.013.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.2
End5.6
blue by 3.9
378
#10
20.70.0
14.314.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.7
Second
3838
#32
16.60.4
10.811.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 3.8
1585
#37
12.70.0
11.511.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Third
3173
#30
11.90.4
9.09.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End4.2
blue by 0.4
28
#44
12.30.0
8.98.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed