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Red44
12019.0
145017.5
158512.7
Blue33
559015.1
254415.4
379914.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48401020306070804433

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#19
19.00.1
15.815.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 3.6
2544
#28
15.40.5
13.412.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.0
End4.2
Second
17.50.1
14.914.8
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 2.4
5590
#27
15.10.5
13.012.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.1
Third
1585
#37
12.70.1
14.314.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 1.8
3799
#35
14.50.3
11.411.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed