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Red65
318111.4
140517.7
37820.7
Blue47
159118.0
263820.3
68927.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39511020306070806547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#10
20.73.1
16.119.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.7
red by 0.4
2638
#25
20.30.1
19.919.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End5.5
Second
1405
#17
17.73.1
10.513.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End6.9
blue by 0.2
1591
#22
18.00.1
16.516.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End4.9
Third
3181
#40
11.43.1
10.613.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.1
red by 4.0
6892
#42
7.40.1
11.811.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed