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Red44
649016.2
12019.0
318111.4
Blue35
158512.7
319312.4
686815.1
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464530405060704435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#19
19.00.0
17.117.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.9
red by 3.9
6868
#11
15.10.7
17.416.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Second
6490
#21
16.20.0
16.816.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 3.4
1585
#37
12.70.7
13.913.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Third
3181
#40
11.40.0
9.79.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.1
blue by 0.9
3193
#33
12.40.7
11.010.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed