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Red60
53313.5
525425.1
315721.7
Blue75
87031.6
37820.7
559015.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59643040507080906075

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.4
22.823.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End6.6
blue by 6.4
870
#1
31.61.4
28.329.7
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End7.6
Second
21.70.4
19.720.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End7.7
red by 1.0
378
#10
20.71.4
18.019.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.5
End5.7
Third
533
#43
13.50.4
13.113.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.7
End2.2
blue by 1.7
5590
#27
15.11.4
14.215.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned55%HAB Docking oddsEarned