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Red45
649016.2
263820.3
395113.9
Blue66
151123.7
57817.9
315721.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5563304050607080904566

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#25
20.30.6
20.920.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End5.5
blue by 3.4
1511
#13
23.70.4
22.623.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End5.4
Second
6490
#21
16.20.6
16.816.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End2.7
blue by 5.6
21.70.5
20.220.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End7.7
Third
3951
#45
13.90.6
14.613.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End3.0
blue by 4.0
578
#31
17.90.5
17.417.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned