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Red39
158512.7
559015.1
729912.1
Blue63
436118.0
34025.2
151811.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4355203050607080903963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5590
#27
15.10.5
15.615.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End4.1
blue by 10.1
340
#14
25.20.7
23.524.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End7.5
Second
1585
#37
12.70.5
13.212.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.8
blue by 5.3
4361
#15
18.00.5
17.518.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End6.1
Third
7299
#29
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End4.5
red by 0.2
1518
#41
11.90.7
11.211.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed61%HAB Docking oddsEarned