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Red48
150722.3
22223.9
300323.2
Blue33
61027.3
128519.3
301523.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93874060801001204833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#18
23.92.7
29.626.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End5.0
blue by 3.4
610
#11
27.33.3
32.529.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.6
End5.9
Second
3003
#20
23.22.7
28.826.1
Auto5.6
Teleop10.0
End7.6
red by 0.1
3015
#22
23.13.3
25.121.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End7.4
Third
1507
#26
22.32.7
30.027.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 3.1
1285
#36
19.33.3
24.821.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
61%Rocket oddsMissed20%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed99%HAB Docking oddsMissed