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Red67
270810.1
403926.3
447627.5
Blue49
37821.4
285211.8
132523.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6969506080906749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.2
25.926.0
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End4.7
red by 3.9
1325
#19
23.62.1
28.126.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Second
4039
#13
26.30.2
26.426.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.7
End6.5
red by 4.9
378
#9
21.42.1
21.919.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End5.7
Third
2708
#28
10.10.2
12.212.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 1.7
2852
#38
11.82.1
16.814.7
Auto4.3
Teleop2.9
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed25%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed