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Red45
691110.6
331425.0
395013.3
Blue45
87114.9
166011.4
602417.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454002060804545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 7.6
6024
#30
17.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.3
Second
3950
#46
13.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 1.6
871
#23Sur
14.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Third
6911
#38Sur
10.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.6
blue by 0.8
1660
#44
11.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed