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Red35
341914.7
701610.6
25016.3
Blue37
38312.9
69699.2
586514.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373732343638403537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#6
16.30.0
12.512.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End3.3
red by 1.8
5865
#18
14.60.3
14.013.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End3.9
Second
3419
#31
14.70.0
12.212.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End2.7
red by 1.7
383
#27
12.90.4
12.011.6
Auto1.5
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Third
7016
#40
10.60.0
10.210.2
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.2
red by 1.4
6969
#16
9.20.4
8.98.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed