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Red46
395013.3
659314.5
35415.6
Blue55
700414.0
750417.3
260113.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403702060804655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
354
#22
15.60.1
12.212.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 1.8
7504
#12
17.31.9
12.814.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Second
6593
#28
14.50.1
12.912.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.4
End3.2
red by 0.5
7004
#36
14.01.9
9.711.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.5
Third
3950
#46
13.30.1
12.612.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.3
blue by 0.5
13.81.9
12.214.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed