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Red65
602417.4
69699.2
457120.6
Blue44
409110.9
645914.3
188013.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242102030506070806544

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.0
16.416.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End2.9
red by 6.4
6459
#34
14.30.5
12.713.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Second
6024
#30
17.40.0
14.914.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.3
red by 3.8
13.50.5
14.515.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Third
6969
#16
9.20.0
8.78.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.3
End3.1
blue by 1.7
4091
#14
10.90.5
12.112.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed