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Red59
179629.9
512312.1
773010.7
Blue49
586514.6
40127.7
52718.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394030354550555949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.8
19.521.3
Auto2.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
red by 11.1
527
#21
18.80.7
16.917.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Second
5123
#29
12.11.8
8.810.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.4
blue by 2.5
5865
#18
14.60.7
13.614.3
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End3.9
Third
7730
#25
10.71.8
8.610.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End3.8
red by 2.9
4012
#43
7.71.2
7.38.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsEarned