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Red45
30178.8
750417.3
226515.1
Blue22
680614.9
38312.9
166011.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3838253035404550554522

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7504
#12
17.31.1
14.715.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 2.4
6806
#32
14.91.6
16.214.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.6
Second
2265
#39
15.11.1
12.713.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 2.1
383
#27
12.91.6
10.08.4
Auto1.5
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Third
3017
#41
8.81.1
7.99.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.7
blue by 2.5
1660
#44
11.41.6
10.68.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed