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Red49
701610.6
52718.8
753914.7
Blue69
457120.6
331425.0
25016.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4253102030607080904969

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#21
18.80.0
17.617.6
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.7
blue by 6.2
25.01.2
21.122.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Second
7539
#20
14.70.0
13.013.0
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.1
blue by 5.9
20.62.0
16.418.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Third
7016
#40
10.60.0
9.19.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 5.8
250
#6
16.31.2
13.114.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsEarned