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Red41
750417.3
775910.0
602417.4
Blue57
87114.9
25016.3
640115.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464525303540505560654157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#30
17.40.2
17.016.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.3
red by 1.0
250
#6
16.31.0
15.816.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End3.3
Second
7504
#12
17.30.2
15.815.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End2.2
red by 2.1
6401
#24
15.21.5
15.016.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Third
7759
#37
10.00.2
10.610.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End3.2
blue by 4.8
871
#23
14.91.6
11.513.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed