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Red58
115616.1
501617.2
753914.7
Blue33
773010.7
586514.6
287211.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49421020306070805833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#17
17.20.8
16.617.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 2.6
5865
#18
14.60.5
17.316.8
Auto5.0
Teleop5.7
End3.9
Second
1156
#11
16.10.8
15.516.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End3.2
red by 4.3
2872
#15
11.80.7
10.810.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.1
Third
7539
#20
14.70.8
14.715.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.4
End3.1
red by 4.0
7730
#25
10.70.7
11.911.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed