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Red52
52029.1
38312.9
30326.7
Blue54
457120.6
645914.3
691110.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494420304060705254

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#4
26.70.4
25.125.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End6.0
red by 6.1
20.60.1
18.418.3
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End2.9
Second
383
#27
12.90.5
12.913.4
Auto1.5
Teleop7.7
End3.7
blue by 1.3
6459
#34
14.30.1
12.812.7
Auto3.6
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
5202
#45
9.10.5
8.59.0
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.6
blue by 1.5
6911
#38
10.60.1
10.710.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed