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Red56
512312.1
115516.9
226515.1
Blue57
331425.0
35415.6
580612.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453102030406070805657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#26
16.91.1
16.417.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 8.0
25.00.1
23.924.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End7.5
Second
2265
#39
15.11.1
13.414.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 0.5
354
#22
15.60.1
14.514.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Third
5123
#29
12.11.1
11.412.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Level
5806
#35
12.10.1
11.411.5
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed