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Red37
25016.3
115516.9
409110.9
Blue11
664810.4
40127.7
52029.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4438102030506070803711

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1155
#26
16.90.5
14.013.5
Auto4.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 6.5
6648
#42DQ
10.43.4
11.27.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End2.7
Second
250
#6
16.30.3
14.614.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.5
End3.3
red by 7.3
5202
#45
9.13.4
12.79.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.6
Third
4091
#14
10.90.5
12.912.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
red by 3.1
4012
#43
7.73.4
11.68.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed