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Red49
602417.4
260113.8
188013.5
Blue41
580612.1
226515.1
52718.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43433035404550554941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6024
#30
17.40.5
14.114.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.3
blue by 1.4
527
#21
18.80.2
17.817.7
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.7
Second
13.80.5
13.714.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End2.8
blue by 1.3
2265
#39
15.10.3
10.19.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
13.50.5
13.413.9
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.6
red by 1.5
5806
#35
12.10.3
12.612.4
Auto5.8
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed