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Red39
38312.9
409110.9
115616.1
Blue36
512312.1
188013.5
395013.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44433035405055603936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#11
16.10.5
16.315.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End3.2
red by 2.6
13.50.4
14.614.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End3.6
Second
383
#27
12.90.5
13.412.9
Auto1.5
Teleop7.7
End3.7
blue by 0.4
3950
#46
13.30.5
13.813.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
4091
#14
10.90.5
11.711.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 1.2
5123
#29
12.10.4
12.512.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed