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Red45
501617.2
52029.1
52718.8
Blue40
30178.8
775910.0
701610.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47321020405060704540

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#21
18.80.1
17.717.8
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End4.7
red by 8.2
7016
#40
10.60.3
10.910.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Second
5016
#17
17.20.1
17.417.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 7.2
7759
#37
10.00.3
10.310.0
Auto1.8
Teleop5.1
End3.2
Third
5202
#45DQ
9.10.1
9.09.1
Auto3.6
Teleop1.9
End3.6
red by 0.2
3017
#41
8.80.3
9.18.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed