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Red44
703015.3
688010.5
155119.9
Blue60
279127.7
33413.1
69422.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405102060804460

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.3
12.312.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End6.4
blue by 7.8
27.71.3
19.721.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End6.7
Second
7030
#19
15.30.3
11.912.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.4
End3.7
blue by 7.4
694
#3
22.71.3
17.819.1
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End6.9
Third
6880
#14
10.50.3
14.114.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End4.2
blue by 2.7
334
#16
13.11.3
11.012.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsEarned