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Red32
703114.3
149325.5
399616.0
Blue20
51415.9
7145.3
596410.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42360102030506070803220

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.9
16.215.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 9.6
514
#24
15.91.9
12.910.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End3.8
Second
16.00.9
12.912.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End4.8
red by 5.2
5964
#12
10.81.9
11.49.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Third
7031
#17
14.30.9
10.79.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End3.7
red by 9.0
714
#33
5.31.9
10.18.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed