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Red48
287512.5
33413.1
594312.0
Blue49
2030.1
35816.8
66215.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364502060801004849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#16
13.10.1
12.312.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
blue by 16.9
20
#1
30.10.7
17.518.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.7
End9.4
Second
12.50.1
11.011.0
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.5
blue by 4.3
358
#18
16.80.7
15.516.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End3.7
Third
5943
#20
12.00.1
11.211.2
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End3.6
red by 6.3
6621
#34
5.70.7
9.610.3
Auto4.4
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned