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Red40
33318.7
588110.7
740011.8
Blue49
155119.9
14516.3
399616.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101020506070804049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#22
18.71.0
14.215.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.5
End3.1
blue by 1.3
19.91.1
12.613.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End6.4
Second
7400
#25
11.81.0
7.38.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End2.9
blue by 4.5
145
#11
16.31.1
14.215.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End4.0
Third
5881
#35
10.71.0
9.510.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End0.4
blue by 5.3
16.01.1
12.013.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed