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Red56
7145.3
279127.7
75657.1
Blue17
77188.0
379912.5
75638.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383510203050605617

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.71.9
21.022.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End6.7
red by 15.2
3799
#27
12.51.8
15.814.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
Second
7565
#30
7.11.9
7.18.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
blue by 1.5
7563
#29
8.61.8
10.08.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Third
714
#33
5.31.9
8.210.1
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 2.7
7718
#36
8.01.8
7.65.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed