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Red44
588110.7
66215.7
149325.5
Blue39
75638.6
304416.7
596410.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4132010205060704439

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.6
17.818.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 8.9
3044
#23
16.70.6
12.012.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Second
5881
#35
10.70.6
10.511.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End0.4
blue by 0.1
5964
#12
10.80.6
10.110.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Third
6621
#34
5.70.6
10.310.9
Auto4.4
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 2.9
7563
#29
8.60.6
8.28.8
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed