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Red22
688010.5
450811.2
379912.5
Blue32
77188.0
63918.8
287512.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44380102030506070802232

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3799
#27
12.52.6
14.011.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
blue by 6.3
639
#9
18.80.4
18.818.4
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End3.6
Second
4508
#32
11.22.6
15.312.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.6
blue by 1.2
12.50.4
11.010.6
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.5
Third
6880
#14
10.52.6
12.810.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End4.2
red by 2.4
7718
#36
8.00.4
5.75.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed