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Red41
287512.5
703114.3
35816.8
Blue38
588110.7
75638.6
630019.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42471020305060704138

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#18
16.80.2
14.914.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End3.7
blue by 2.4
6300
#10
19.21.4
22.921.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.8
Second
7031
#17
14.30.2
14.013.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End3.7
red by 3.6
5881
#35
10.71.4
12.511.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End0.4
Third
12.50.2
11.411.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.4
End4.5
red by 3.8
7563
#29
8.61.4
8.87.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed