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Red24
66215.7
594312.0
703015.3
Blue47
33413.1
450811.2
765114.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423825303540455055602447

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7030
#19
15.32.1
15.813.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.4
End3.7
red by 0.8
7651
#15
14.51.2
11.112.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Second
5943
#20
12.02.1
14.412.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.1
End3.6
blue by 1.1
334
#16
13.11.2
12.313.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.8
End3.0
Third
6621
#34
5.72.1
10.07.8
Auto4.4
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 5.5
4508
#32
11.21.2
12.513.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed