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Red48
155119.9
186019.3
379912.5
Blue75
399616.0
69422.7
304416.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464920304060704875

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.5
15.215.7
Auto2.9
Teleop10.5
End6.4
blue by 2.8
694
#3
22.72.5
20.923.5
Auto4.8
Teleop11.0
End6.9
Second
19.30.5
17.718.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.9
End5.8
red by 2.6
3044
#23
16.72.5
12.715.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Third
3799
#27
12.50.5
10.811.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.2
End3.7
blue by 3.5
16.02.5
12.515.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsEarned